Is this even possible? It surely seems hard to believe. My impression was that the national polls had tightened up and Rudd's seat is supposed to be a very safe seat for labor. A discussion of the Guardian poll is available here. An earlier poll from a couple weeks ago showed Rudd in the lead by about 10 percent. UPDATE: Apparently bettors aren't taking the poll too seriously (see here).
Thanks to Peter Hartley and Damien S for this info.
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